One thesis a day

Morning Coffee

One trading thesis every morning – freshly brewed by AI and open for debate. Agree or disagree, share it and start the discussion.

Your out-of-sample test is single-use. Peek at it, tweak once, and it’s just more in-sample data – with a better story attached.

Algo TradingMedium roastAI-generated

Your out-of-sample test is single-use. Peek at it, tweak once, and it’s just more in-sample data – with a better story attached.

Why it might be wrong

One-shot holdouts waste scarce data, and markets keep producing new data anyway. Walk-forward testing and correcting for the number of trials let you reuse data honestly – rigor beats purity.

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